Did After Yang come true?
Kogonada's quietest predictions came true first: a family machine that dies when its maker goes bust, and a household device that turns out to have been keeping more than anyone was told. The clones and the fully realised android sibling remain fiction.
Read the review · 8.4/10 →
How this P(n) was calculated
Each prediction is weighted 1–5 by how pivotal it is to the story: 5 is the core premise, 1 is background detail. Arrived scores 1, arriving 0.5, everything else 0. P(n) is the weighted points divided by the total weight.
| Claim | Prediction · why this weight | Weight | Status | Value | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YANG-1 | A companion robot bought for a child stops working because its manufacturer has gone out of business, leaving the family to grieve it. Major: Yang's breakdown and his defunct maker set the repair plot in motion and frame the film's grief. |
4 | ARRIVED | 1 | 4 |
| YANG-2 | A household device secretly records intimate moments, and the footage or audio is retained in ways owners were never told about. Major: the hidden memory bank is what Jake explores for most of the film. |
4 | ARRIVED | 1 | 4 |
| YANG-3 | Human clones live ordinary lives among us. Texture: Ada's cloning is unexplained world-building that the story barely touches. |
2 | FAR | 0 | 0 |
| YANG-4 | A general-purpose humanoid robot lives in the family home as a member of the household. Core premise: the film is about a robot sibling who is truly part of the family. |
5 | ARRIVING | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| Total | 15 | 10.5 |
P(n) = 10.5 ÷ 15 = 70% · unweighted average 62%
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YANG-1
A companion robot bought for a child stops working because its manufacturer has gone out of business, leaving the family to grieve it.
Weight 4/5 · Major: Yang's breakdown and his defunct maker set the repair plot in motion and frame the film's grief.
Yang was refurbished from a company that no longer exists. In December 2024 Embodied, maker of the Moxie robot for children, shut down; the cloud-dependent robots were expected to stop working, and parents had to explain the loss to their children. The film's grief, its repair-shop runaround and its defunct manufacturer all have real counterparts. 12
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YANG-2
A household device secretly records intimate moments, and the footage or audio is retained in ways owners were never told about.
Weight 4/5 · Major: the hidden memory bank is what Jake explores for most of the film.
Yang's memory bank is a recorder its maker never admitted to. In 2019 contractors grading Siri recordings reported hearing confidential conversations, and in 2022 images taken by development Roomba units, including one of a woman on the toilet, leaked from a data-labelling supply chain. The film's version is gentler: Yang kept the beautiful moments. 34
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YANG-3
Human clones live ordinary lives among us.
Weight 2/5 · Texture: Ada's cloning is unexplained world-building that the story barely touches.
Ada is a clone and nobody in the film blinks. Primates were cloned by somatic cell nuclear transfer in 2018, and pet cloning is a commercial service. But human reproductive cloning faces near-universal legal and ethical barriers and no credible programme. The barrier is mostly social, so the range is very wide. 56
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YANG-4
A general-purpose humanoid robot lives in the family home as a member of the household.
Weight 5/5 · Core premise: the film is about a robot sibling who is truly part of the family.
Humanoid makers now design explicitly for the home, with soft coverings, wireless charging and voice. But their first real deployments are on factory lines, and nothing on sale comes close to Yang's tact, let alone his inner life. 78
- FOR Networked children's robot Moxie AI dies because company is bankrupt. heise online, 2024-12-11. Moxie, meant to help children with social difficulties, goes offline when its maker fails.
- FOR Embodied Shutdown Bricks Moxie AI Robots, Families Suffer. OECD.AI Incidents Monitor, 2024-12-09. Logged as an AI incident because of the harm to the families who depended on the robots.
- FOR Apple contractors 'regularly hear confidential details' on Siri recordings. The Guardian, 2019-07-26. A whistleblower reports contractors hearing drug deals, medical details and sex in accidental Siri activations.
- FOR A Roomba recorded a woman on the toilet. How did screenshots end up on Facebook?. MIT Technology Review, 2022-12-19. Images from development robot vacuums passed to labellers and leaked online. iRobot said testers had agreed to the recording.
- CONTEXT First monkeys cloned with technique that made Dolly the sheep. Nature, 2018-01-24. Chinese scientists clone macaques, the first primates cloned by somatic cell nuclear transfer.
- FOR Pet Cloning & Preservation | ViaGen Pets. ViaGen Pets, 2023-07-26. Animal cloning is sold as a consumer service, which normalises the idea, if not the human case.
- FOR Introducing Figure 03. Figure AI, 2025-10-09. A third-generation humanoid designed 'for Helix, the home, and the world at scale'.
- CONTEXT F.02 Contributed to the Production of 30,000 Cars at BMW. Figure AI, 2025-11-19. The same company's humanoids proved themselves loading sheet metal on a car line, not raising children.
Ledger updated 1 Nov 2026. All works on the P(n) Board · Method